Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (18 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1154 | 28% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1111 | 60% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 909 | 1181 | 17% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1118 | 1121 | 50% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 995 | 46% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1046 | 69% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 852 | 73% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 910 | 1089 | 26% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 996 | 55% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 856 | 894 | 45% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 856 | 1116 | 18% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 956 | 927 | 54% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1083 | 1336 | 19% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 997 | 996 | 50% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1046 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).