Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (18 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1162 | 25% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1168 | 48% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 910 | 1157 | 19% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1121 | 1110 | 52% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1061 | 37% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1064 | 63% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 851 | 73% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 938 | 1074 | 31% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1039 | 58% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 870 | 894 | 47% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 1058 | 25% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 969 | 984 | 48% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 1054.4 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).