Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-11-08 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2025-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1176 | 54% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1347 | 1060 | 84% | 2024-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2024-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2024-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2024-01-17 | | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2024-01-01 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2023-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-07-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1043 | 1063 | 47% | 2023-05-22 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1031 | 37% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-03-23 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-02-24 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2023-01-28 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1060.4 has a 50.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).