Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (19 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1151 | 26% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1175 | 50% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1014 | 86% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 904 | 1174 | 17% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1111 | 52% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1056 | 51% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1070 | 65% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 850 | 72% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1203 | 893 | 86% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1107 | 39% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1040 | 59% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 908 | 894 | 52% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 908 | 1139 | 21% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1020 | 52% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1107 | 60% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1068.6 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).