Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-11-08 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1121 | 28% | 2025-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1155 | 49% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1352 | 1040 | 86% | 2024-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2024-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 851 | 70% | 2024-01-17 | | Won |
| 1143 | 992 | 70% | 2024-01-01 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1033 | 40% | 2023-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-07-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1095 | 48% | 2023-05-22 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1007 | 40% | 2023-05-09 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-03-23 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-02-24 | | Won |
| 1111 | 1089 | 53% | 2023-02-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1053.2 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).