Death on the French Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1084 | 58% | 2026-08-24 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2026-06-14 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1073 | 69% | 2025-12-02 | | Lost |
| 841 | 1072 | 21% | 2025-06-12 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-04-10 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1008 | 43% | 2024-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1197 | 41% | 2024-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 861 | 69% | 2023-04-14 | | Won |
| 949 | 780 | 73% | 2023-04-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2023-02-28 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-01-15 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1069 | 69% | 2023-01-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1062.8 vs 1009.8 has a 57.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).