Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1293 | 24% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1120 | 60% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 769 | 1250 | 6% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1069 | 44% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1273 | 48% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 996 | 1033 | 45% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1074 | 49% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1191 | 20% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1011 | 62% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1066 | 936 | 68% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1028 | 60% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1084 | 976 | 65% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1259 | 35% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 717 | 89% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1004 | 882 | 67% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 954 | 908 | 57% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 1058 | 45% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1055 | 1213 | 29% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1080.2 has a 46.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).