Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1027 | 46% | 2023-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 942 | 58% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-03-04 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2023-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2023-01-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2022-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-05-13 | | Won |
| 1005 | 984 | 53% | 2022-04-25 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1008.5 vs 999.8 has a 51.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).