Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-03-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2024-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-05-01 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1298 | 4% | 2023-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2023-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-04-10 | | Won |
| 974 | 1033 | 42% | 2023-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 978 | 65% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1064 | 34% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2023-03-04 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1163 | 28% | 2023-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1112 | 1040 | 60% | 2023-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1101 | 59% | 2023-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1046 | 55% | 2023-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 986 | 54% | 2023-01-02 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1204 | 1185 | 53% | 2022-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1078 | 60% | 2022-09-16 | | Lost |
| 949 | 780 | 73% | 2022-07-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2022-06-03 | | Won |
| 924 | 1000 | 39% | 2022-05-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2022-05-13 | | Won |
| 981 | 1196 | 22% | 2022-04-25 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1048.5 has a 48.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).