Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1122 | 32% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1057 | 64% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1122 | 51% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 749 | 1252 | 5% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 789 | 1059 | 17% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1279 | 48% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 996 | 1033 | 45% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 927 | 71% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1132 | 26% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1039 | 971 | 60% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1101 | 45% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1010 | 59% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1096 | 51% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1028 | 58% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1075 | 938 | 69% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1264 | 37% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 971 | 768 | 76% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1260 | 914 | 88% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 998 | 910 | 62% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 1025 | 49% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1204 | 27% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1066.4 has a 48.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).