Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 9
Defender wins (Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2025-08-27 | | Won |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2023-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2022-07-29 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1032 | 47% | 2022-07-02 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-05-22 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-05-06 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1008.5 vs 1034.8 has a 46.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).