Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 5
Defender wins (Eritrean): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1015 | 49% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 996 | 1219 | 22% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1073 | 36% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 1165 | 26% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 943 | 996 | 42% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 981.2 vs 1093.6 has a 34.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).