Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 5
Defender wins (Eritrean): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1069 | 41% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 923 | 61% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 991 | 1131 | 31% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 913 | 945 | 45% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 973.2 vs 1013.4 has a 44.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).