Kebur Zabagna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 9
Defender wins (Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2025-08-27 | Won |
| 993 | 1054 | 41% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1216 | 29% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-07-02 | Lost |
| 973 | 1015 | 44% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 998.5 vs 1053.2 has a 42.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).