Circle the Wagons!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (6 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-12-06 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-09-24 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2022-05-28 | | Tied |
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2022-04-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1015.5 vs 994.3 has a 53.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).