Circle the Wagons!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 0
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 999 | 43% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1131 | 991 | 69% | 2022-05-28 | Tied |
| 913 | 945 | 45% | 2022-05-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2022-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 989 vs 974.8 has a 52.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).