Circle the Wagons!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 0
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 984 | 48% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 974 | 65% | 2022-05-28 | Tied |
| 926 | 1164 | 20% | 2022-05-19 | Lost |
| 992 | 1018 | 46% | 2022-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 985.8 vs 1024.8 has a 44.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).