Back to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (9 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German / German (SS)): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-10-27 | Won |
| 992 | 1336 | 12% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1084 | 882 | 76% | 2022-12-02 | Won |
| 991 | 979 | 52% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1032 | 76% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2022-09-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-09-26 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1142 | 51% | 2022-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 1054.2 has a 47.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).