Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (10 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 1031 | 69% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1132 | 43% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 896 | 965 | 40% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1117 | 52% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 965 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1075 | 938 | 69% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 805 | 84% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 971 | 927 | 56% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 986.6 has a 58.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).