Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1196 | 41% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1158 | 938 | 78% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1021 | 71% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1109 | 49% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 974 | 964 | 51% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1117 | 49% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 964 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 802 | 83% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 1024 | 45% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1009.6 has a 58.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).