Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1166 | 1219 | 42% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1174 | 971 | 76% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1165 | 992 | 73% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1125 | 42% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 967 | 964 | 50% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1081 | 964 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1045 | 931 | 66% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 786 | 85% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 951 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 1001 | 52% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 964 | 1076 | 34% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1007 has a 58.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).