Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2026-05-21 | A | Lost |
| 1195 | 1192 | 50% | 2025-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2025-08-22 | A | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1200 | 972 | 79% | 2022-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1099 | 39% | 2022-10-17 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2022-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2022-08-06 | | Won |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2022-08-01 | | Won |
| 1167 | 786 | 90% | 2022-07-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-04-26 | | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-03-22 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-02-26 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1030.2 has a 53.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).