Loosening the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1020 | 42% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1085 | 1039 | 57% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1264 | 1226 | 55% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1174 | 34% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 1074 | 914 | 72% | 2023-07-06 | Won |
| 852 | 1080 | 21% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 1082 | 969 | 66% | 2022-08-27 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2022-07-06 | Lost |
| 971 | 769 | 76% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1056 has a 49.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).