A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 19
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1123 | 52% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 1089 | 1051 | 55% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1203 | 954 | 81% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1226 | 25% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1263 | 960 | 85% | 2022-03-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 923 | 66% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1035 | 47% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1082 | 46% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1134 | 1210 | 39% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1142 | 33% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1099.1 vs 1070.6 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).