Patton's Ghost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (North Korean): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1158 | 38% | 2025-02-20 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2023-06-12 | Won |
| 1186 | 1085 | 64% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1186 | 781 | 91% | 2022-05-23 | Won |
| 940 | 1051 | 35% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
| 1003 | 990 | 52% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1042 | 879 | 72% | 2022-03-17 | Won |
| 1122 | 1030 | 63% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 733 | 1254 | 5% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 888 | 68% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1009.3 has a 55.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).