Roucaud’s Blow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (5 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1182 | 46% | 2026-04-04 | Lost |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2025-12-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1087 | 40% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1080 | 58% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 755 | 1077 | 14% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 986.8 vs 1085.2 has a 36.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).