The Blood of Lambs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (10 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 728 | 1292 | 4% | 2026-02-09 | | Lost |
| 898 | 919 | 47% | 2025-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-03-04 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2023-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 962 | 60% | 2022-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1064 | 53% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 967.9 vs 1048.6 has a 38.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).