Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 974 | 59% | 2025-03-04 | | Lost |
| 921 | 892 | 54% | 2024-09-03 | | Won |
| 987 | 1149 | 28% | 2024-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 974 | 86% | 2024-04-29 | | Won |
| 901 | 1138 | 20% | 2022-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1169 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 728 | 96% | 2022-02-14 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2022-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1230 | 28% | 2021-12-12 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1024.3 has a 56.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).