Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1018 | 53% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 952 | 835 | 66% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1100 | 34% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 922 | 1264 | 12% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1036 | 71% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1257 | 749 | 95% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1141 | 54% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1042.2 has a 54.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).