Crown of Thorns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 986 | 58% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 956 | 886 | 60% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 987 | 1152 | 28% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1220 | 986 | 79% | 2024-04-29 | Won |
| 900 | 1245 | 12% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1220 | 739 | 94% | 2022-02-14 | Won |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1243 | 24% | 2021-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1047.8 has a 51.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).