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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1018 | 49% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 741 | 1263 | 5% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1039 | 69% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1341 | 33% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1192 | 51% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 920 | 951 | 46% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1093.2 has a 46.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).