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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 997 | 55% | 2024-09-24 | | Won |
| 728 | 1298 | 4% | 2024-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2021-10-07 | | Won |
| 1218 | 916 | 85% | 2021-08-24 | | Won |
| 981 | 1196 | 22% | 2021-08-19 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1097 | 52% | 2021-08-13 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2021-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1229 | 1000 | 79% | 2021-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2021-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2021-04-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1059.4 has a 51.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).