Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 33
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1084 | 49% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1099 | 1060 | 56% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 750 | 1024 | 17% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1031 | 39% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1063 | 1011 | 57% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1188 | 1193 | 49% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1156 | 959 | 76% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1074 | 41% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1223 | 769 | 93% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1221 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1189 | 957 | 79% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1022 | 927 | 63% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1089.9 vs 1033.2 has a 58.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).