Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (18 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 25
Defender wins (Japanese): 42
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2024-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2024-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2023-08-27 | | Lost |
| 978 | 891 | 62% | 2023-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2023-08-11 | A | Won |
| 1064 | 960 | 65% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 963 | 1183 | 22% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 965 | 1101 | 31% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1098 | 25% | 2022-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1253 | 1064 | 75% | 2022-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2021-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2021-08-06 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1057 | 66% | 2021-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 969 | 68% | 2021-05-04 | | Won |
| 1234 | 1039 | 75% | 2021-05-01 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1069 | 50% | 2021-01-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1045.7 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).