Sparrow Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 25
Defender wins (Japanese): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1134 | 52% | 2024-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2024-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2023-08-27 | | Lost |
| 978 | 891 | 62% | 2023-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2023-08-11 | A | Won |
| 1043 | 959 | 62% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 975 | 1167 | 25% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1101 | 37% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1084 | 26% | 2022-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2022-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1253 | 1043 | 77% | 2022-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 987 | 1075 | 38% | 2021-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2021-08-06 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1057 | 66% | 2021-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 969 | 68% | 2021-05-04 | | Won |
| 1221 | 1028 | 75% | 2021-05-01 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1045 | 56% | 2021-01-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1035.8 has a 54.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).