The Governor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (23 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 45
Defender wins (Vichy French): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1070 | 1079 | 49% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
1040 | 1153 | 34% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
1080 | 1038 | 56% | 2021-08-27 | Lost |
1233 | 1032 | 76% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
992 | 1038 | 43% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
952 | 982 | 46% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
1096 | 1309 | 23% | 2021-07-15 | Lost |
1084 | 1022 | 59% | 2021-07-02 | Lost |
952 | 937 | 52% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
938 | 1141 | 24% | 2021-06-03 | Lost |
997 | 1110 | 34% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
1225 | 753 | 94% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
1089 | 1097 | 49% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
1201 | 992 | 77% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
1213 | 1126 | 62% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
1061 | 1068 | 49% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
1222 | 1126 | 63% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
999 | 753 | 80% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
928 | 1225 | 15% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
995 | 1225 | 21% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
1013 | 1143 | 32% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
933 | 1029 | 37% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1059.1 has a 49.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).