The Governor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (25 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 32
Defender wins (Vichy French): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-06-07 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-09-30 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2023-01-18 | | Lost |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 2021-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1057 | 47% | 2021-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1023 | 70% | 2021-08-11 | | Lost |
| 940 | 928 | 52% | 2021-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2021-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1038 | 49% | 2021-07-02 | | Lost |
| 904 | 967 | 41% | 2021-06-08 | | Won |
| 963 | 1178 | 22% | 2021-06-03 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1272 | 729 | 96% | 2021-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1116 | 46% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1000 | 77% | 2021-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2021-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1073 | 49% | 2021-04-25 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1272 | 14% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 998 | 729 | 82% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1128 | 51% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1272 | 34% | 2021-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1214 | 24% | 2021-03-10 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1068 | 30% | 2021-02-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1057.8 has a 48.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).