The First Farmhouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 902 | 56% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1024 | 1029 | 49% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 977 | 1036 | 42% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 977 | 902 | 61% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 989.6 vs 978 has a 51.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).