Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (35 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 926 | 1154 | 21% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1224 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 1050 | 49% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 996 | 997 | 50% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1128 | 1101 | 54% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 980 | 960 | 53% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1152 | 49% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 959 | 63% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 1125 | 1094 | 54% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 996 | 1132 | 31% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1336 | 1083 | 81% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 903 | 62% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 944 | 937 | 51% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1047 | 45% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1040 | 61% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1191 | 1141 | 57% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1158 | 48% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 883 | 1116 | 21% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 945 | 956 | 48% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1106 | 1020 | 62% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1264 | 19% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1116 | 54% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 938 | 1219 | 17% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1085 | 72% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 937 | 1007 | 40% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1116 | 42% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1189 | 27% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1095 | 67% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1075.7 has a 48.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).