Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (29 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 42
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1153 | 1102 | 57% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 973 | 954 | 53% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1106 | 45% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1115 | 1094 | 53% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 903 | 62% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 939 | 984 | 44% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1046 | 53% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1039 | 51% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1190 | 1151 | 56% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1141 | 51% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1074 | 60% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1105 | 977 | 68% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 977 | 1053 | 39% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1259 | 20% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 931 | 1214 | 16% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1035 | 63% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 882 | 1008 | 33% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 875 | 1151 | 17% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1198 | 32% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1094 | 53% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1068.7 has a 47.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).