Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (37 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 1163 | 21% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1045 | 1065 | 47% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1005 | 982 | 53% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1131 | 1104 | 54% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 980 | 964 | 52% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1176 | 44% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1096 | 50% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 1143 | 31% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1176 | 1098 | 61% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1044 | 49% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1041 | 53% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1195 | 1154 | 56% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1066 | 62% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
| 1154 | 1135 | 53% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 885 | 1135 | 19% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1061 | 1044 | 52% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 988 | 67% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 988 | 997 | 49% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1242 | 21% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1135 | 52% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 938 | 1219 | 17% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1086 | 66% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 900 | 1008 | 35% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 878 | 1110 | 21% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1064 | 51% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1199 | 28% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1098 | 63% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1005 | 72% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1079.5 has a 46.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).