Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (43 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 56
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 948 | 53% | 2026-06-04 | Lost |
| 923 | 777 | 70% | 2025-12-22 | Lost |
| 1126 | 919 | 77% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2025-10-30 | Won |
| 937 | 698 | 80% | 2025-10-16 | Won |
| 930 | 1126 | 24% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1077 | 44% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 1104 | 57% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 961 | 965 | 49% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1119 | 59% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1039 | 961 | 61% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1029 | 65% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1202 | 1029 | 73% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1038 | 56% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1041 | 49% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1195 | 1179 | 52% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1047 | 63% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
| 1179 | 1227 | 43% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 882 | 1132 | 19% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1011 | 976 | 55% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1133 | 989 | 70% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 965 | 1263 | 15% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1227 | 24% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1132 | 55% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 937 | 1216 | 17% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1087 | 47% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 928 | 980 | 43% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 924 | 1031 | 35% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1228 | 30% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1101 | 48% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1054.2 has a 48.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).