Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 115 (41 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 55
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 753 | 74% | 2025-12-22 | Lost |
| 1121 | 919 | 76% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 992 | 69% | 2025-10-30 | Won |
| 930 | 1121 | 25% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1076 | 44% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 1104 | 57% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 961 | 884 | 61% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1039 | 998 | 56% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1108 | 45% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1133 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1192 | 1052 | 69% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 947 | 969 | 47% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1039 | 45% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 967 | 1041 | 40% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1195 | 1208 | 48% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1048 | 63% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
| 1208 | 1169 | 56% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 882 | 1136 | 19% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1062 | 999 | 59% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1129 | 989 | 69% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 965 | 1263 | 15% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1220 | 25% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1136 | 54% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 930 | 1218 | 16% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1087 | 62% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 890 | 980 | 37% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 924 | 967 | 44% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1101 | 45% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1071.1 has a 46.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).