Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (19 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 965 | 57% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 962 | 954 | 51% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 991 | 1051 | 41% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 973 | 981 | 49% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 931 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1089 | 39% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 973 | 70% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 980 | 917 | 59% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1011 | 1024 | 48% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1078 | 1124 | 43% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 903 | 972 | 40% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1149 | 972 | 73% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1340 | 1046 | 84% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1027.3 has a 53.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).