Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (17 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 25
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 940 | 58% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
992 | 1084 | 37% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
999 | 989 | 51% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
1150 | 999 | 70% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1214 | 1334 | 33% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
874 | 1116 | 20% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
874 | 1116 | 20% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
1106 | 1106 | 50% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
984 | 1023 | 44% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
1191 | 999 | 75% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
1008 | 882 | 67% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
999 | 1074 | 39% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
982 | 1105 | 33% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
900 | 1036 | 31% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
1310 | 996 | 86% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1053.5 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).