Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (19 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 26
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 954 | 55% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 982 | 53% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1005 | 966 | 56% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1005 | 72% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1339 | 33% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 893 | 1191 | 15% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1127 | 48% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1118 | 35% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1044 | 1056 | 48% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1005 | 69% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 900 | 65% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 996 | 1044 | 43% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 902 | 1025 | 33% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1329 | 1029 | 85% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1056.7 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).