Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-09-08 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2022-05-20 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2022-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2021-09-21 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1139 | 25% | 2021-09-13 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2021-09-10 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1007 | 40% | 2021-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2021-08-06 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1182 | 24% | 2021-07-21 | | Won |
| 1298 | 1059 | 80% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1132 | 56% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1110 | 1132 | 47% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1097 | 50% | 2020-12-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1068.9 has a 48.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).