Trap by Mishap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish/Swedish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1042 | 52% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1080 | 1081 | 50% | 2025-04-04 | Won |
| 1081 | 1078 | 50% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 965 | 57% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1074 | 43% | 2021-09-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 894 | 57% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 1109 | 27% | 2021-09-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1078 | 60% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1180 | 26% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1254 | 1085 | 73% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1186 | 1135 | 57% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1191 | 1135 | 58% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1081 vs 1070.7 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).