To The Neman
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1051 | 53% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 966 | 67% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 780 | 1080 | 15% | 2021-12-15 | Lost |
| 1172 | 924 | 81% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 949 | 75% | 2021-02-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 928 | 63% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1133 | 1216 | 38% | 2020-10-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.2 vs 1039.3 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).