Hedgehog
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 979 | 54% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 979 | 922 | 58% | 2023-08-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1094 | 56% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1224 | 1116 | 65% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1015 | 984 | 54% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1085 | 979 | 65% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1007.6 has a 58.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).