Prelude: Chabrehez
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (11 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Belgian): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 954 | 958 | 49% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 909 | 1051 | 31% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 937 | 814 | 67% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1213 | 38% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1195 | 958 | 80% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1114 | 971 | 69% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1219 | 1028 | 75% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 997.9 has a 62.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).