Prelude: Chabrehez
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Belgian): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 944 | 1092 | 30% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 914 | 815 | 64% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1188 | 39% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1148 | 1005 | 69% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 989 | 65% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1151 | 970 | 74% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1220 | 1030 | 75% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1026.6 has a 56.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).