Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (16 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 848 | 1065 | 22% | 2026-05-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1070 | 37% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1112 | 993 | 66% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 948 | 1112 | 28% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1029 | 73% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 996 | 56% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1125 | 49% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1179 | 1227 | 43% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1133 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 969 | 71% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1070 | 937 | 68% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1050.6 has a 53.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).