Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (15 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 45
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 1085 | 48% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 1085 | 37% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 997 | 47% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 979 | 45% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 1015 | 45% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 989 | 1008 | 47% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1219 | 35% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1141 | 1264 | 33% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1140 | 879 | 82% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1069.6 vs 1061.5 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).