Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1016 | 40% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1128 | 1094 | 55% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1023 | 48% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 812 | 894 | 38% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1021 | 80% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1298 | 33% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 875 | 1131 | 19% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 952 | 1260 | 15% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1214 | 996 | 78% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1074.9 has a 46.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).