In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (25 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1228 | 38% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1015 | 72% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 869 | 882 | 48% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 997 | 979 | 53% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 943 | 979 | 45% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 908 | 1089 | 26% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1165 | 35% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1181 | 979 | 76% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 958 | 1030 | 40% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 903 | 989 | 38% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 964 | 979 | 48% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1141 | 1030 | 65% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1030 | 65% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 928 | 956 | 46% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1027 | 1006 | 53% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 903 | 83% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 913 | 864 | 57% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 879 | 77% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1264 | 33% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 987 | 903 | 62% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1015.4 has a 51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).