In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (24 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 30
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1182 | 44% | 2025-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1015 | 66% | 2024-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2023-12-01 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-09-27 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-07-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2023-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-11-06 | | Won |
| 927 | 1040 | 34% | 2022-03-10 | | Lost |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-16 | | Won |
| 957 | 1084 | 32% | 2021-07-19 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-04-19 | | Won |
| 1204 | 1024 | 74% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 1204 | 1024 | 74% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2021-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1116 | 41% | 2021-02-26 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1006 | 54% | 2020-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 980 | 75% | 2020-12-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-07-22 | | Lost |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2020-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 972 | 68% | 2020-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1204 | 1185 | 53% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2020-02-17 | | Won |
| 1002 | 980 | 53% | 2020-02-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1021.2 has a 53.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).