The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (Vichy): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2024-04-28 | Won |
| 1167 | 1100 | 60% | 2022-09-13 | Won |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1254 | 733 | 95% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1123.3 vs 954.5 has a 72.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).