Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1111 | 50% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 966 | 1108 | 31% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1060.5 has a 42.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).