The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 844 | 903 | 42% | 2024-08-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1001 | 52% | 2024-07-23 | Lost |
| 968 | 1018 | 43% | 2024-07-16 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2022-08-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1116 | 41% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 924 | 903 | 53% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1046 | 1001 | 56% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 974.7 vs 985.2 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).