The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2025-05-18 | | Won |
| 829 | 966 | 31% | 2024-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1080 | 41% | 2024-07-23 | | Lost |
| 970 | 984 | 48% | 2024-07-16 | D | Lost |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2023-02-06 | A | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-08-15 | | Won |
| 991 | 1132 | 31% | 2022-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2020-08-20 | | Won |
| 924 | 966 | 44% | 2020-04-10 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-01-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 974.3 vs 1013.1 has a 44.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).