The Last Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied (French / Norwegian)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 855 | 1015 | 28% | 2024-08-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1013 | 51% | 2024-07-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 932 | 75% | 2024-07-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2022-08-15 | Won |
| 998 | 955 | 56% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1026 | 54% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 924 | 1015 | 37% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 998.9 vs 999.3 has a 49.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).