Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2025-11-20 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 1186 | 981 | 76% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2023-10-12 | Won |
| 1010 | 1101 | 37% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1010 | 77% | 2022-09-23 | Lost |
| 916 | 950 | 45% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 962 | 1221 | 18% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 950 | 974 | 47% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 1037 | 1121 | 38% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 930 | 991 | 41% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1035 | 53% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1086 | 1057 | 54% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1039.1 has a 49.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).