Unfamiliar Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (17 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1028 | 47% | 2023-09-13 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1155 | 964 | 75% | 2023-01-05 | Tied |
| 954 | 1025 | 40% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 963 | 977 | 48% | 2022-10-21 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1034 | 53% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
| 1153 | 1060 | 63% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 942 | 1099 | 29% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 898 | 80% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1012 | 51% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 951 | 64% | 2020-03-27 | Won |
| 978 | 950 | 54% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1020.1 vs 1011.4 has a 51.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).