Unfamiliar Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (18 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 992 | 61% | 2026-06-13 | Won |
| 1013 | 1097 | 38% | 2023-09-13 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 939 | 77% | 2023-01-05 | Tied |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 977 | 1083 | 35% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 961 | 991 | 46% | 2022-10-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1035 | 53% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 1087 | 55% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 942 | 1151 | 23% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 900 | 87% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 986 | 1028 | 44% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 972 | 1028 | 42% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 933 | 60% | 2020-03-27 | Won |
| 979 | 984 | 49% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 947 | 933 | 52% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1025.2 vs 1015.4 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).