Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (21 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1079 | 1031 | 57% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 848 | 848 | 50% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 883 | 1127 | 20% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1202 | 18% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1149 | 48% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1313 | 1100 | 77% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1101 | 27% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1050 | 1120 | 40% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1132 | 1085 | 57% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1055 | 934 | 67% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 1065 | 49% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 904 | 1025 | 33% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1048 | 978 | 60% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1148 | 34% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1045.6 vs 1068 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).