Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (22 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 47
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1012 | 59% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 940 | 847 | 63% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 891 | 1128 | 20% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1065 | 32% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1128 | 39% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1219 | 1064 | 71% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1129 | 24% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1055 | 45% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1132 | 1001 | 68% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1143 | 1191 | 43% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1070 | 1132 | 41% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1143 | 1029 | 66% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1152 | 1191 | 44% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 934 | 70% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1146 | 1152 | 49% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 969 | 41% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1029 | 1223 | 25% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1141 | 35% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1063.4 vs 1083.7 has a 47.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).