The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (25 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 952 | 78% | 2025-12-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1173 | 46% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 919 | 63% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 984 | 59% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1117 | 43% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1035 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1176 | 37% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 1048 | 46% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1059 | 941 | 66% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 917 | 71% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 902 | 941 | 44% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 1031 | 43% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1113 | 851 | 82% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1276 | 1095 | 74% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Won |
| 1057 | 1018 | 56% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1022.8 has a 58.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).