The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (25 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1184 | 980 | 76% | 2025-12-13 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1180 | 45% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 996 | 57% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1117 | 48% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 967 | 56% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1045 | 73% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1035 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1184 | 36% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1053 | 45% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1057 | 917 | 69% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 902 | 941 | 44% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 1054 | 41% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1141 | 1021 | 67% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1164 | 851 | 86% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1276 | 1084 | 75% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
| 1064 | 1084 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1026.2 has a 58.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).