The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (25 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 975 | 77% | 2025-12-13 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1174 | 45% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 978 | 81% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 980 | 60% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1117 | 54% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 944 | 59% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 1035 | 74% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1035 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1085 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1047 | 46% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1089 | 901 | 75% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 917 | 68% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 902 | 940 | 45% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1010 | 51% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1065 | 1023 | 56% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1154 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1255 | 1098 | 71% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
| 1023 | 1117 | 37% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1084.9 vs 1024.6 has a 58.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).