The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (23 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1181 | 980 | 76% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 1010 | 55% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1115 | 65% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 903 | 65% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1089 | 67% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1034 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1085 | 1248 | 28% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 983 | 995 | 48% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 879 | 82% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 950 | 933 | 52% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 902 | 856 | 57% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1002 | 61% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1015 | 49% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1228 | 1100 | 68% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1011 | 1117 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1018.7 has a 57.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).