The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (23 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 913 | 64% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 957 | 79% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 1036 | 52% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1116 | 61% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 909 | 64% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1074 | 69% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1034 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 1223 | 31% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1020 | 1062 | 44% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 876 | 79% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 948 | 923 | 54% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 903 | 871 | 55% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 996 | 1048 | 43% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1078 | 1001 | 61% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1128 | 858 | 83% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1254 | 1100 | 71% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1031 | 1079 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1015.1 has a 58.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).