The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (26 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2026-05-07 | | Won |
| 1150 | 957 | 75% | 2025-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2025-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2023-12-09 | | Won |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2022-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1169 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-08-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2021-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 981 | 54% | 2021-07-03 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1045 | 73% | 2021-02-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2021-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2021-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2020-11-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-07-03 | | Won |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2020-04-18 | | Won |
| 1008 | 918 | 63% | 2019-05-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2019-05-08 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1059 | 38% | 2019-03-23 | | Won |
| 1142 | 1008 | 68% | 2019-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-16 | | Won |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2019-01-18 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1149 | 67% | 2019-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1013 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1030.3 has a 54.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).