The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1011 | 1023 | 48% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 917 | 892 | 54% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 898 | 955 | 42% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 1100 | 42% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1034.9 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).