Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1004 | 76% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 1183 | 24% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 992 | 54% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1126 | 62% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 911 | 1088 | 27% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1142 | 37% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 899 | 993 | 37% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 810 | 825 | 48% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 901 | 1204 | 15% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1039.1 has a 51.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).