Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 994 | 81% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 992 | 1181 | 25% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1040 | 953 | 62% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1106 | 65% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1111 | 984 | 68% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 879 | 1140 | 18% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1152 | 35% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 899 | 960 | 41% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 839 | 825 | 52% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 903 | 1228 | 13% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1040.6 has a 51.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).