The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 958 | 56% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1083 | 46% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 994 | 977 | 52% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 936 | 923 | 52% | 2023-05-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1150 | 30% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1047 | 65% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 917 | 917 | 50% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1023 | 42% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 1060 | 1250 | 25% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1013.5 vs 1033.2 has a 47.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).