Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1001 | 57% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 741 | 1263 | 5% | 2025-09-15 | Lost |
| 966 | 932 | 55% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 959 | 61% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 1011 | 916 | 63% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1035 | 72% | 2019-08-02 | Won |
| 614 | 879 | 18% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 992.7 vs 1023 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).