Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 959 | 51% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 995 | 1011 | 48% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 1043 | 978 | 59% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 961 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-11-13 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1035 | 74% | 2019-08-02 | Won |
| 612 | 877 | 18% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 911 | 1088 | 27% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1000.8 vs 1017.3 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).