Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (9 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 8
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1080 | 1038 | 56% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 921 | 1143 | 22% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 901 | 1012 | 35% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 1012 | 35% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1028 | 75% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1037 | 69% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1026.2 has a 56.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).