Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 16
Defender wins (French): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1025 | 48% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 1225 | 38% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 993 | 870 | 67% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1062 | 53% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1024 | 59% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 938 | 1223 | 16% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1223 | 905 | 86% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.1 vs 1046.9 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).