Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 19
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1013 | 50% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1256 | 38% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 878 | 869 | 51% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1094 | 42% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1024 | 58% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1338 | 1263 | 61% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 981 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 982 | 80% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1074.4 has a 52.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).