Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (33 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1310 | 25% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 995 | 954 | 56% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1106 | 1126 | 47% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1218 | 39% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 996 | 1400 | 9% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 994 | 1053 | 42% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1142 | 35% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1044 | 1142 | 36% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 849 | 72% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1048 | 35% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1250 | 769 | 94% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 952 | 66% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 977 | 55% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1130 | 48% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1151 | 1148 | 50% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 998 | 65% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 923 | 59% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 995 | 1046 | 43% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1198 | 923 | 83% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1084 | 1177 | 37% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1250 | 31% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1001 | 1069 | 40% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 996 | 1164 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1071.6 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).