Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (34 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1309 | 25% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1309 | 1096 | 77% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 995 | 993 | 50% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1208 | 38% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1218 | 41% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1405 | 10% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 1009 | 49% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 1142 | 30% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1005 | 1142 | 31% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 978 | 830 | 70% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1061 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1225 | 753 | 94% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1012 | 952 | 59% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1126 | 1147 | 47% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1147 | 31% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 1008 | 64% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 901 | 62% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1189 | 901 | 84% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 995 | 1046 | 43% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1050 | 1215 | 28% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1225 | 32% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1012 | 49% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1069.8 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).