Bloody Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1041 | 53% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 959 | 68% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 984 | 1031 | 43% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1225 | 979 | 80% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-04-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 1008 | 65% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1094.6 vs 1027.6 has a 59.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).