Simple Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (16 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-07-20 | Won |
| 1008 | 1050 | 44% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 961 | 987 | 46% | 2023-09-23 | Won |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2022-06-01 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-12-21 | Lost |
| 974 | 945 | 54% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 974 | 945 | 54% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1013 | 1002 | 52% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1030 | 43% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 945 | 1138 | 25% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 945 | 1138 | 25% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1160 | 945 | 78% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1179 | 50% | 2019-03-18 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1031.2 has a 50.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).