Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 6
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Croatian): 1
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2026-01-20 | Lost |
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 1039 | 37% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 1210 | 983 | 79% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1080 | 970 | 65% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1042 | 53% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1001.6 has a 56.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).