Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (6 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 6
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Croatian): 1
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 1250 | 998 | 81% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1031.7 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).