Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (4 on the archive and 137 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 78
Defender wins (Russian): 62
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Romanian): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1057 | 43% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 1010 | 971 | 56% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1064 | 976 | 62% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1020 | 989 | 54% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1025.8 vs 998.3 has a 53.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).