Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (40 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (American): 70
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 923 | 59% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 874 | 994 | 33% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1068 | 48% | 2022-08-03 | Won |
| 1022 | 1065 | 44% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 931 | 1310 | 10% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 996 | 86% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1310 | 14% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 902 | 73% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 977 | 61% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 923 | 940 | 48% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
| 1074 | 986 | 62% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1011 | 55% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1006 | 64% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 925 | 923 | 50% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1126 | 37% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1151 | 28% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
| 940 | 1099 | 29% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 923 | 1097 | 27% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1031 | 62% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 954 | 898 | 58% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1149 | 41% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1226 | 48% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
| 999 | 881 | 66% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
| 1099 | 1069 | 54% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 1023 | 879 | 70% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1045 | 45% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1084 | 39% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1046.6 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).