A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 1186 | 60% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1072 | 999 | 60% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 962 | 1001 | 44% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1140 | 27% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1068 | 826 | 80% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1136 | 1072 | 59% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 929 | 84% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1076.3 vs 1026 has a 57.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).