A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1323 | 1323 | 50% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 1108 | 37% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1027 | 989 | 55% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1040 | 46% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 842 | 82% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1091 | 1036 | 58% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 932 | 84% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1104.3 vs 1035.5 has a 59.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).