A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 999 | 59% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1027 | 960 | 60% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2019-03-07 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1141 | 24% | 2018-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-04-14 | | Won |
| 1218 | 938 | 83% | 2018-03-10 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1040.2 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).