A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1183 | 1217 | 45% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1072 | 999 | 60% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 853 | 1117 | 18% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 1031 | 47% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 996 | 1151 | 29% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1167 | 824 | 88% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1137 | 1072 | 59% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 939 | 83% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1044.6 has a 53.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).