Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (7 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1021 | 59% | 2026-01-27 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2025-07-07 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1003 | 68% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1099 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2001-04-09 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 977 vs 1058.7 has a 38.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).