The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (17 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1185 | 1193 | 49% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 1004 | 1182 | 26% | 2026-01-05 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 886 | 928 | 44% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 971 | 974 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1146 | 38% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 1008 | 918 | 63% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 969 | 71% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1328 | 1344 | 48% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1020 | 41% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1058.5 has a 49.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).