The Battle of Mali Spadarit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 10
Defender wins (Greek): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1084 | 59% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 1169 | 1088 | 61% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1383 | 15% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
| 931 | 1249 | 14% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1125 | 42% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1075 | 50% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 1420 | 1274 | 70% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1127.1 has a 43.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).