The Battle of Mali Spadarit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 10
Defender wins (Greek): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-03-02 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1031 | 19% | 2020-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-05-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2019-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-11-06 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1242 | 18% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2018-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1098 | 42% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2018-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2018-05-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 1088.5 has a 39.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).