The Battle of Mali Spadarit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 10
Defender wins (Greek): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1157 | 29% | 2024-03-02 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1031 | 19% | 2020-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-05-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2019-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-11-06 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1242 | 17% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1064 | 53% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2018-05-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1014 vs 1076.1 has a 41.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).