The Battle of Mali Spadarit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (Greek): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1100 | 57% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 768 | 1029 | 18% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 940 | 1153 | 23% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1382 | 21% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1132 | 43% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1078 | 58% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 1313 | 19% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1140.2 has a 38.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).