The Battle of Mali Spadarit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 10
Defender wins (Greek): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1152 | 49% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 780 | 1028 | 19% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 1168 | 1126 | 56% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1383 | 19% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
| 966 | 1263 | 15% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1160 | 945 | 78% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 1138 | 25% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1138 | 37% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 1420 | 1219 | 76% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1072.4 vs 1132.7 has a 41.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).